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Predictor for Short-term Rental Revenue

This project was lead by Tim Gilbert to create target revenue predictions for any house/condo in the United States if it were used as a full-time short-term-rental investment, taking into account property features, offered services, local entertain factors, market demand and penetration, seasonality, local expenses, etc. We extracted ML features from structured fields and descriptions from 6 years of data across 2 million properties, then filtered down to the 600k most relevant houses for predictions and built deep neural network models to predict yearly revenues, daily rates, long-term lease amounts.

We also created a system for finding nearby comparable properties, based not only on distance and number of bedrooms/bathrooms, but also on key features that affect house price and revenue such as pools, ski-in/out access, waterfront access, and much more.

Can you sign up to use the predictor at runrevr.com.

Example prediction results

Prediction Summary: Revenue=$68,262 / Gross Cap Rate 15.17%

Property Investment Score = 59.71 / Market Average Score = 60.42

Predicted Occupancy and Rate Seasonality Chart

Market Comparisons

Market Comparison Score / Occupancy / Penetration / Home Value

Market Comparison Revenue / Revenue per bedroom / Nightly rate / Number of Properties